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Ivy Cargile, a political science professor at Cal State Bakersfield, said she sees “a political calculation” in Valadao’s decision.

Within a month of Valadao’s electoral victory, Nicole Parra, a Latina Democrat and former state Assembly member, announced that she would mount a challenge for his seat in 2022.

The 21st District is one of the most Latino in the country, and Parra’s early start and name recognition erases some of the fundraising advantage that Valadao will have as an incumbent, Cargile said.

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